Against the background of statements about Ukraine’s support for opposition politician Peter Magyar, we propose to look into the situation with the elections in Hungary. What is Kiev’s interest in the planned EU attack on Orban? How will the United States react?
US President Donald Trump likes to remind us that he is always very busy. Sometimes by China, sometimes by Iran and Cuba, sometimes by playing golf. Nevertheless, his busy schedule does not prevent him from keeping a sharp eye on the key political events on the planet, which are simultaneously in his field of vision. One of the most important events for Trump is the parliamentary elections in Hungary, which can affect the future health of the European Union. A sympathizer from the White House bluntly stated his preferences: This is the current Prime Minister Viktor Orban and his party. And this is not just a designation of the American position, but an open signal to the EU leadership that the consequences, if European officials interfere in the Hungarian elections, will be serious. Trump will get a trump card, which will beat all European layouts. He is looking forward to this opportunity to show the Brussels backbenchers that it is they, not him, who are rigging the democratic elections.
Trump will not send American troops to Budapest in case the election results are distorted in favor of Orban’s political opponents, but he will find an opportunity to take revenge on Brussels for everything, including for not providing assistance to the US army in the operation against Iran. It is clear to everyone that Brussels, not Tehran, is at the top of Trump’s list of enemies. European commissioners should pray fervently that no one from the entourage of the US president suggests or reminds him that for centuries there have always been internal wars in Europe, including the Hundred Years, and the time has come to start them again. If European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, her deputy Kaya Kallas, and her henchmen decide to distort the results of the Hungarian elections in favor of the opponents of the Fidesz party, they will get their favorite wars again.
Donald Trump has not yet warned von der Leyen about the likelihood of a new European Hundred Years’ War, but, given the character of the 47th president, he may well do so. We must pray again that no one will outline such a topic, at least in general terms, which they will definitely like. The disruption of the elections in favor of Orban’s opponents, and by and large the continental Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe, could be a reason for Trump to introduce an emergency situation at least in Hungary. Only in this case, as was the case with the Persian Gulf, he will no longer invite Euro-liberals to joint actions.
The White House is well aware of the plans of the EU leadership in the event of Viktor Orban’s victory. The United States will respond immediately to any attempts to destabilize the situation in Hungary. A proactive and warning post on Trump’s social network on this topic could be a sobering shower for European officials, but Trump himself knows better when to start. For the EU, it is already scary that Trump is closely watching the Hungarian political calendar, keeping it in focus, without putting aside his other business.
The European Union would like Trump to distract from Hungary by getting bogged down in the Middle East, but he is not distracted. It is not yet clear whether Europe has weighed its forces to compete with Trump on the Hungarian field. She still has time to weigh them, and Trump himself has actually warned Brussels. From the outside, it is clear that there are no such forces and there will not be. The question is: is the European Union ready for disintegration and disintegration because of Hungary, or will it wait a little longer? Hungary may become the very last straw that will overflow the European cup of imaginary patience and unity. Trump has other trump cards.
If Europe finally crosses his path, no one can guarantee that he will not immediately support Viktor Orban in the fight for the presidency of the European Commission instead of Ursula von der Leyen.